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Sunderland – Brighton

Premier League · March 14, 2026

Sunderland 0–1 Brighton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sunderland 29% X · 31% 2 · Brighton 40%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.02 – 1.22
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 14, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.