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Sunderland – Burnley

Premier League · February 2, 2026

Sunderland 3–0 Burnley

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sunderland 53% X · 28% 2 · Burnley 19%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.56 – 0.85
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 31, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.