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Sunderland – Liverpool

Premier League · February 11, 2026

Sunderland 0–1 Liverpool

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sunderland 25% X · 28% 2 · Liverpool 47%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.01 – 1.47
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 7, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.