Sunderland – Newcastle
Premier League · December 14, 2025
Sunderland
1–0
Newcastle
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Sunderland 31%
X · 27%
2 · Newcastle 42%
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Expected goals | 1.14 – 1.35 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 13, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.