Certor

Sunderland – Nott'm Forest

Premier League · April 24, 2026

Sunderland 0–5 Nott'm Forest

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sunderland 35% X · 33% 2 · Nott'm Forest 32%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals1.07 – 0.99
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 18, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.