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Telstar – Ajax

Eredivisie · January 11, 2026

Telstar 2–3 Ajax

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Telstar 21% X · 23% 2 · Ajax 56%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.03 – 1.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.