Certor

Telstar – NAC Breda

Eredivisie · February 27, 2026

Telstar 3–0 NAC Breda

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Telstar 45% X · 29% 2 · NAC Breda 26%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.35 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 21, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.