Certor

Tondela – Estoril

Primeira Liga · August 31, 2025

Tondela 2–2 Estoril

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Tondela 35% X · 25% 2 · Estoril 40%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.33 – 1.44
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 30, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.