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Tondela – Gil Vicente

Primeira Liga · April 13, 2026

Tondela 2–2 Gil Vicente

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Tondela 28% X · 27% 2 · Gil Vicente 45%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.00 – 1.33
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.