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Tondela – Sp Lisbon

Primeira Liga · October 26, 2025

Tondela 0–3 Sp Lisbon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Tondela 8% X · 14% 2 · Sp Lisbon 78%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals0.72 – 2.57
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 24, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.