Certor

Torino – Atalanta

Serie A · December 4, 2023

Torino 3–0 Atalanta

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Torino 29% X · 27% 2 · Atalanta 44%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.12 – 1.45
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 2, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.