Certor

Torino – Genoa

Serie A · September 3, 2023

Torino 1–0 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Torino 52% X · 27% 2 · Genoa 21%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.54 – 0.89
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 2, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.