Certor

Torino – Parma

Serie A · March 13, 2026

Torino 4–1 Parma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Torino 44% X · 29% 2 · Parma 27%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.30 – 0.96
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 7, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.