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Tottenham – Aston Villa

Premier League · October 19, 2025

Tottenham 1–2 Aston Villa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Tottenham 41% X · 25% 2 · Aston Villa 34%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.58 – 1.39
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.