Certor

Toulouse – Lyon

Ligue 1 · March 15, 2024

Toulouse 2–3 Lyon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Toulouse 30% X · 25% 2 · Lyon 45%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.34 – 1.68
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 15, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.