Toulouse – Lyon
Ligue 1 · May 10, 2026
Toulouse
2–1
Lyon
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Toulouse 36%
X · 26%
2 · Lyon 38%
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Expected goals | 1.42 – 1.46 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
May 10, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.