Certor

Toulouse – Marseille

Ligue 1 · August 31, 2024

Toulouse 1–3 Marseille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Toulouse 27% X · 28% 2 · Marseille 45%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.09 – 1.45
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 30, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.