Certor

Toulouse – Paris SG

Ligue 1 · August 30, 2025

Toulouse 3–6 Paris SG

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Toulouse 21% X · 23% 2 · Paris SG 56%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.04 – 1.84
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 29, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.