Troyes – Lens
Ligue 1 · October 17, 2026
Troyes
1–3
Lens
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Troyes 15%
X · 21%
2 · Lens 64%
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Expected goals | 0.88 – 2.06 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
October 17, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.