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Troyes – Marseille

Ligue 1 · October 11, 2026

Troyes 0–2 Marseille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Troyes 15% X · 20% 2 · Marseille 65%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals0.98 – 2.24
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 11, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.