Certor

Twente – Excelsior

Eredivisie · December 8, 2023

Twente 4–2 Excelsior

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Twente 76% X · 16% 2 · Excelsior 8%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals2.59 – 0.77
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 2, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.