Certor

Twente – Excelsior

Eredivisie · January 24, 2026

Twente 0–0 Excelsior

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Twente 71% X · 18% 2 · Excelsior 11%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals2.32 – 0.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 24, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.