Certor

Udinese – Cagliari

Serie A · October 5, 2025

Udinese 1–1 Cagliari

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Udinese 44% X · 29% 2 · Cagliari 27%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.34 – 0.98
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.