Certor

Udinese – Fiorentina

Serie A · May 25, 2025

Udinese 2–3 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Udinese 29% X · 29% 2 · Fiorentina 42%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.09 – 1.36
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 25, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.