Certor

Udinese – Napoli

Serie A · December 14, 2025

Udinese 1–0 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Udinese 18% X · 27% 2 · Napoli 55%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals0.83 – 1.61
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 13, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.