Certor

Union Berlin – Augsburg

Bundesliga · January 15, 2025

Union Berlin 0–2 Augsburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Union Berlin 48% X · 30% 2 · Augsburg 22%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.51 – 0.95
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 10, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.