Certor

Union Berlin – Bayern Munich

Bundesliga · November 8, 2025

Union Berlin 2–2 Bayern Munich

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Union Berlin 9% X · 17% 2 · Bayern Munich 74%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals0.81 – 2.53
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 7, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.