Certor

Union Berlin – Darmstadt

Bundesliga · January 28, 2024

Union Berlin 1–0 Darmstadt

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Union Berlin 67% X · 21% 2 · Darmstadt 12%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals2.21 – 0.84
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 27, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.