Certor

Union Berlin – Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · September 23, 2023

Union Berlin 0–2 Hoffenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Union Berlin 48% X · 27% 2 · Hoffenheim 25%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.67 – 1.17
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 22, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.