Certor

Union Berlin – Leverkusen

Bundesliga · April 6, 2024

Union Berlin 0–1 Leverkusen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Union Berlin 26% X · 29% 2 · Leverkusen 45%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.11 – 1.53
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 6, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.