Certor

Union Berlin – Leverkusen

Bundesliga · November 30, 2024

Union Berlin 1–2 Leverkusen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Union Berlin 22% X · 29% 2 · Leverkusen 49%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.03 – 1.60
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 29, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.