Certor

Union Berlin – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · December 9, 2023

Union Berlin 3–1 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Union Berlin 44% X · 27% 2 · M'gladbach 29%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.68 – 1.35
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 8, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.