Certor

Union Berlin – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · February 15, 2025

Union Berlin 1–2 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Union Berlin 40% X · 29% 2 · M'gladbach 31%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.49 – 1.30
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 14, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.