Certor

Union Berlin – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · October 17, 2025

Union Berlin 3–1 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Union Berlin 38% X · 28% 2 · M'gladbach 34%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.49 – 1.39
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 17, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.