Union Berlin – St Pauli
Bundesliga · April 5, 2026
Union Berlin
1–1
St Pauli
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Union Berlin 44%
X · 34%
2 · St Pauli 22%
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| Both teams to score | 37% |
| Expected goals | 1.16 – 0.75 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 4, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.