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Union Berlin – St Pauli

Bundesliga · April 5, 2026

Union Berlin 1–1 St Pauli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Union Berlin 44% X · 34% 2 · St Pauli 22%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Both teams to score37%
Expected goals1.16 – 0.75
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 4, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.