Certor

Union Berlin – Stuttgart

Bundesliga · October 21, 2023

Union Berlin 0–3 Stuttgart

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Union Berlin 48% X · 28% 2 · Stuttgart 24%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.64 – 1.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 20, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.