Certor

Union Berlin – Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · March 16, 2024

Union Berlin 2–1 Werder Bremen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Union Berlin 47% X · 29% 2 · Werder Bremen 24%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.52 – 1.01
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 16, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.