Certor

Union Berlin – Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · May 3, 2025

Union Berlin 2–2 Werder Bremen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Union Berlin 41% X · 30% 2 · Werder Bremen 29%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.38 – 1.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 3, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.