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Utrecht – Ajax

Eredivisie · October 22, 2023

Utrecht 4–3 Ajax

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Utrecht 18% X · 21% 2 · Ajax 61%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.13 – 2.20
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 21, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.