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Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie · August 15, 2026

Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Utrecht 42% X · 27% 2 · AZ Alkmaar 31%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.52 – 1.29
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 15, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.