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Utrecht – Excelsior

Eredivisie · August 24, 2025

Utrecht 4–1 Excelsior

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Utrecht 74% X · 16% 2 · Excelsior 10%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals2.68 – 0.93
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 23, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.