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Valencia – Alaves

La Liga · March 8, 2026

Valencia 3–2 Alaves

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Valencia 40% X · 32% 2 · Alaves 28%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Both teams to score38%
Expected goals1.07 – 0.85
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.