Certor

Valencia – Celta

La Liga · April 5, 2026

Valencia 2–3 Celta

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Valencia 35% X · 29% 2 · Celta 36%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.12 – 1.14
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 3, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.