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Valencia – Vallecano

La Liga · May 14, 2026

Valencia 1–1 Vallecano

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Valencia 36% X · 29% 2 · Vallecano 35%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals1.11 – 1.08
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 8, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.