Certor

Vallecano – Alaves

La Liga · October 26, 2024

Vallecano 1–0 Alaves

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Vallecano 49% X · 29% 2 · Alaves 22%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals1.34 – 0.80
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 25, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.