Certor

Vallecano – Real Madrid

La Liga · December 14, 2024

Vallecano 3–3 Real Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Vallecano 17% X · 22% 2 · Real Madrid 61%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals0.92 – 1.94
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 13, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.