Certor

Verona – Fiorentina

Serie A · April 4, 2026

Verona 0–1 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Verona 25% X · 28% 2 · Fiorentina 47%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals0.98 – 1.44
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 4, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.