Certor

Verona – Lazio

Serie A · December 9, 2023

Verona 1–1 Lazio

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Verona 25% X · 26% 2 · Lazio 49%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.05 – 1.58
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 9, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.