Certor

Verona – Lecce

Serie A · May 11, 2025

Verona 1–1 Lecce

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Verona 41% X · 31% 2 · Lecce 28%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.21 – 0.96
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 11, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.