Certor

Verona – Milan

Serie A · April 19, 2026

Verona 0–1 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Verona 19% X · 25% 2 · Milan 56%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.90 – 1.70
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 18, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.